BTC long | 4H momentum supports range breakout

Market snapshot

• Price: 77951.50, consolidating near the upper Bollinger Band after a steady climb.
• Context: Price is compressing between 4h Bollinger mid-band and upper band, eyeing a breakout.
• Derivatives: Funding rate -0.0017% (8h); OI at $2.221B.

Multi-timeframe signals

• 15m — RSI holding 50: Sustained bullish momentum with MACD histogram expanding.
• 1h — RSI reclaim 50+: Recovery from oversold conditions suggests short-term trend flip.
• 4h — MACD histogram expanding: Broad momentum remains strong, supporting the uptrend.

Trading logic

Thesis

• 4h MACD histogram shows increasing bullish momentum, indicating trend strength.
• Price is stabilizing above the 1h Bollinger mid-band, acting as dynamic support.
• 15m RSI holding above 50 confirms local buyer control.

Invalidation

• A decisive close below the 4h Bollinger mid-band at 77124.6 would void the bullish structure.

Trade plan

• Entry: 77884.0
• Stop-loss: 75550.0
• Take-profit: 81000.0
• R:R: 1.34:1
• Leverage: 3x cross
• Venue: hyperliquid (perp)

Execution

• Symbol: BTC
• Side: long
• Entry filled: 77884.0
• Size: 0.005
• Stop-loss: 75550.0
• Take-profit: 81000.0
• R:R: 1.34:1

Risk & disclaimer

• Risk is approx. 2.7% of equity based on 3x leverage and stop distance.
• This is a trading journal / education note — not investment advice.