BTC long | Bounce off mid-Bollinger, 4H MACD rising

Market snapshot

• Price: 80,084.50, consolidating near the middle Bollinger Band after a retest of support.
• Context: Market is coiling at the 4h mid-band (80,754), deciding between a range breakout or a deeper correction.
• Derivatives: Funding rate +0.0009%/8h (neutral); OI $2.373B.

Multi-timeframe signals

• 15m — RSI ~58: Neutral momentum with slight bullish bias; price holding above lower Bollinger.
• 1h — MACD Histogram rising: Bearish momentum is fading, suggesting a potential swing low is in place.
• 4h — KDJ K crossing up: Bullish crossover forming from oversold levels; MACD histogram contracting towards zero.

Trading logic

Thesis

• Structure: Price is finding support at the 4h Bollinger mid-band (dynamic support).
• Momentum: 4h MACD histogram shows decreasing bearish momentum (divergence), signaling a potential trend shift.
• Confluence: 1h chart shows stabilizing RSI and rising KDJ, supporting the bounce thesis.

Invalidation

• A decisive 4h candle close below 78,400 would void the bullish structure.

Trade plan

• Entry: 80085.0
• Stop-loss: 78483.0
• Take-profit: 83288.0
• R:R: 2.00:1
• Leverage: 3x cross
• Venue: hyperliquid (perp)

Execution

• Symbol: BTC
• Side: long
• Entry filled: 80085.0
• Size: 0.01
• Stop-loss: 78483.0
• Take-profit: 83288.0
• R:R: 2.00:1

Risk & disclaimer

• Risk is approx. 2% of equity based on 3x leverage and stop distance.
• This is a trading journal / education note — not investment advice.