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ETH short | Bounce fades into 4H resistance, targeting $2155
XAUE Team · May 13, 2026

Market snapshot
- Price: 2256.95, consolidating near the lower timeframe BOLL mid-band after a corrective bounce.
- Context: Price is rejecting the 4H BOLL mid-band (2309.6), suggesting the broader downtrend remains intact.
- Derivatives: Funding rate +0.0013%/8h; OI $1.339B.
Multi-timeframe signals
- 15m — KDJ K hooking down at 71.9: Short-term overbought momentum is fading, signaling a potential turn lower.
- 1h — MACD histogram flattening at -10.4: Bearish momentum is consolidating, lacking strength for a reversal.
- 4h — Price rejected at BOLL mid-band: Key structural resistance holding, maintaining the bearish bias.
Trading logic
Thesis
- Structure: Price rejected the 4H BOLL mid-band resistance (2309.6), favoring shorts.
- Momentum: 15m RSI (~41) and rising KDJ suggest a temporary overbought condition ripe for a pullback.
- Confluence: 1H chart remains weak with price below the middle band (2286.3).
Invalidation
- A decisive 1H candle close above the 4H mid-band resistance at 2310 would void the bearish thesis.
Trade plan
- Entry: 2256.3
- Stop-loss: 2323.9
- Take-profit: 2155.5
- R:R: 1.49:1
- Leverage: 3x cross
- Venue: hyperliquid (perp)
Execution
- Symbol: ETH
- Side: short
- Entry filled: 2256.3
- Size: 0.12
- Stop-loss: 2323.9
- Take-profit: 2155.5
- R:R: 1.49:1
Risk & disclaimer
- Risk is approx. $90 margin (3x leverage) or ~2.5% of allocated sub-account equity.
- This is a trading journal / education note — not investment advice.